MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Caleb Kilian wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.1%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
32.2%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
34.8%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
7.1%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.283
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
25.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.68
Louis Varland
25.22
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
.9401.34
now 1.15
1.25
Louis Varland
.9401.34
now 1.03
1.08

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4051.60
now 29
18
Louis Varland
4051.60
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Louis Varland
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.00010.80
now 3
13
Louis Varland
.00010.80
now 8
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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