Rest of Season Projection
CedricCategoryTristan
5HR →6
32R →34
27RBI ←26
17SB ←7
.195AVG →.249
Current Season
CedricCategoryTristan
3HR ←2
19R ←18
16RBI ←14
10SB ←4
.184AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cedric Mullins
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.249 below league with no luck excuse
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.359 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.290 is 0.051 below the surface — regression coming
Cedric Mullins: 5 HR / 32 R. Tristan Peters: 6 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).