Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryTroy
13HR ←8
40R ←38
33RBI →41
16SB ←5
.243AVG →.297
Current Season
JacksonCategoryTroy
5HR ←2
26R ←23
21RBI →25
10SB ←3
.209AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Merrill
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.262 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Jackson Merrill: 13 HR / 40 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).