Rest of Season Projection
SpencerCategoryWade
11HR ←6
47R ←21
29RBI →56
4SB →14
.258AVG ←.246
Current Season
SpencerCategoryWade
7HR ←2
34R ←3
21RBI ←8
3SB ←2
.272AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Spencer Steer
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Wade Meckler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.372 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.355 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
Spencer Steer: 11 HR / 49 R. Wade Meckler: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).