MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Burch Smith wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Louis Varland
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
.9001.65
now 1.47
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.65
now 1.03
1.08

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4051.60
now 20
18
Louis Varland
4051.60
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0002.80
now 0
00
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Burch Smith
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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