Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryChase
66K ←34
3.60ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W →2–6
23–43SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryChase
42K ←20
2.60ERA →2.33
1.08WHIP →0.93
2W2
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Chase Shugart: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).