MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Emilio Pagán
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Emilio Pagán wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.8
Emilio Pagán
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.2%
Emilio Pagán
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.3%
Emilio Pagán
18.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.1%
Emilio Pagán
30.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.8%
Emilio Pagán
57.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.2%
Emilio Pagán
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.289
Emilio Pagán
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
27.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Emilio Pagán
27.96
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9401.57
now 1.08
1.23
Emilio Pagán
.9401.57
now 1.43
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4054.40
now 42
41
Emilio Pagán
4054.40
now 11
24
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
13
Emilio Pagán
.0005.20
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00032.60
now 20
1325
Emilio Pagán
.00032.60
now 6
712
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet