MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Gordon Graceffo
Gordon Graceffo
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves. Gordon Graceffo’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Gordon Graceffo wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Gordon Graceffo
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Gordon Graceffo
7.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Gordon Graceffo
13.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Gordon Graceffo
24.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Gordon Graceffo
47.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Gordon Graceffo
11.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Gordon Graceffo
.364
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Gordon Graceffo
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.80
3.88
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.42
now 1.08
1.23
Gordon Graceffo
.9001.42
now 0.90
1.27

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4053.60
now 42
34
Gordon Graceffo
4053.60
now 14
13
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0006.60
now 2
12
Gordon Graceffo
.0006.60
now 4
25
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
Gordon Graceffo
.00029.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighGordon Graceffo — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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