Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryGordon
66K ←26
3.60ERA ←3.84
1.22WHIP ←1.26
2–5W →3–9
23–43SV ←1–3
Current Season
CadeCategoryGordon
42K ←14
2.60ERA →1.80
1.08WHIP →0.90
2W →4
20SV ←1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.24 is 3.48 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Gordon Graceffo: 26 K / 3.84 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).