MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Gregory Soto
Gregory Soto
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Gregory Soto’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Gregory Soto wins 1 (W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Gregory Soto
97.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Gregory Soto
11.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Gregory Soto
27.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Gregory Soto
28.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Gregory Soto
35.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Gregory Soto
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Gregory Soto
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Gregory Soto
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.95
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.45
now 1.08
1.23
Gregory Soto
.9001.45
now 0.76
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4049.20
now 42
34
Gregory Soto
4049.20
now 32
24
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Gregory Soto
.0005.20
now 4
24
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00027.80
now 20
1121
Gregory Soto
.00027.80
now 7
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeGregory Soto — hold.conf 0.50
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