MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Lawrence
Justin Lawrence
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Justin Lawrence wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Justin Lawrence
95.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Justin Lawrence
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Justin Lawrence
24.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Justin Lawrence
24.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Justin Lawrence
43.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Justin Lawrence
10.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Justin Lawrence
.380
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
26.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Justin Lawrence
26.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.32
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.74
now 1.08
1.23
Justin Lawrence
.9001.74
now 1.55
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4050
now 42
34
Justin Lawrence
4050
now 25
22
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0002.80
now 2
12
Justin Lawrence
.0002.80
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
Justin Lawrence
.00029.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Lawrence — hold.conf 0.55
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