MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Kevin Kelly
Kevin Kelly
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Kevin Kelly wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Kevin Kelly
93.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Kevin Kelly
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Kevin Kelly
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Kevin Kelly
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Kevin Kelly
47.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Kevin Kelly
7.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Kevin Kelly
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.144.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Kevin Kelly
2.144.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.67
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.41
now 1.08
1.23
Kevin Kelly
.9001.41
now 0.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4052.40
now 42
34
Kevin Kelly
4052.40
now 19
16
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
Kevin Kelly
.0005.20
now 3
14
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029
now 20
1121
Kevin Kelly
.00029
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKevin Kelly — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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