Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryKevin
66K ←33
3.60ERA ←3.69
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W →3–7
23–43SV ←1–6
Current Season
CadeCategoryKevin
42K ←19
2.60ERA ←2.67
1.08WHIP →0.81
2W →3
20SV ←2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Kevin Kelly
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.211 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Kevin Kelly: 33 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).