MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Thompson
Ryan Thompson
AZ · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Ryan Thompson wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Ryan Thompson
91.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Ryan Thompson
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Ryan Thompson
17.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Ryan Thompson
36.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Ryan Thompson
33.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Ryan Thompson
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Ryan Thompson
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.164.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Ryan Thompson
2.164.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
1.011.31
now 1.08
1.23
Ryan Thompson
1.011.31
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4054
now 42
34
Ryan Thompson
4054
now 12
13
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.2003.80
now 2
12
Ryan Thompson
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
Ryan Thompson
.00029.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Thompson — hold.conf 0.50
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