Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryRyan
66K ←29
3.60ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W →2–6
23–43SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryRyan
42K ←12
2.60ERA ←2.75
1.08WHIP ←1.17
2W2
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.237 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.36 is 0.61 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 29 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).