Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategorySam
52K ←33
3.60ERA ←3.70
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–4W →3–8
18–34SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategorySam
42K ←7
2.60ERA →2.45
1.08WHIP ←1.36
2W ←1
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.28)
Sam Aldegheri
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.255 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.76 is 1.64 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 52 K / 3.60 ERA. Sam Aldegheri: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).