Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryTroy
13HR ←8
56R ←38
42RBI ←41
11SB ←5
.265AVG →.297
Current Season
CorbinCategoryTroy
7HR ←2
37R ←23
28RBI ←25
7SB ←3
.286AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Corbin Carroll: 13 HR / 56 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).