MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 5 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W, SV); José Alvarado wins 0 (none).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
José Alvarado
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
José Alvarado
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
José Alvarado
29.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
José Alvarado
34.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
José Alvarado
27.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
José Alvarado
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
José Alvarado
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
26.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
José Alvarado
26.79
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9002.10
now 1.08
1.23
José Alvarado
.9002.10
now 1.81
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4048.40
now 42
34
José Alvarado
4048.40
now 26
26
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.5202.48
now 2
12
José Alvarado
.5202.48
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
José Alvarado
.00029.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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