MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Justin Sterner
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.164.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Justin Sterner
2.164.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
1.011.31
now 1.08
1.23
Justin Sterner
1.011.31
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4050
now 42
34
Justin Sterner
4050
now 26
22
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.5202.48
now 2
12
Justin Sterner
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
Justin Sterner
.00029.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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