Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJoey
5HR ←3
29R ←23
19RBI →23
0SB →3
.190AVG →.216
Current Season
DavidCategoryJoey
3HR ←0
12R ←7
8RBI ←7
0SB →1
.259AVG →.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.284 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Joey Loperfido
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.273)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.364 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
David Fry: 5 HR / 29 R. Joey Loperfido: 3 HR / 23 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).