Who's more valuable, rest of season
Louis Varland.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Riley O'Brien’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
▶
SV
▶
Louis Varland wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Riley O'Brien wins 2 (W, SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Louis Varland
98.6
Riley O'Brien
98.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
15.3%
Riley O'Brien
12.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Louis Varland
35.3%
Riley O'Brien
24.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Louis Varland
36.7%
Riley O'Brien
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
34.7%
Riley O'Brien
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Louis Varland
2.5%
Riley O'Brien
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Louis Varland
.217
Riley O'Brien
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Louis Varland
25.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
Riley O'Brien
25.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Louis Varland
.9001.35
now 1.03
1.08
Riley O'Brien
.9001.35
now 0.99
1.25
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Louis Varland
4051.20
now 42
22
Riley O'Brien
4051.20
now 27
19
Winshigher is better
Louis Varland
.2003.80
now 2
1–2
Riley O'Brien
.2003.80
now 3
1–3
Saveshigher is better
Louis Varland
.00018
now 8
4–7
Riley O'Brien
.00018
now 14
7–13
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
Hold · wait & seeRiley O'Brien — hold.conf 0.50