Buy-Low — league-wide

45 players · 45 calls·Week 10, June 3, 2026

Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group

Buy-Low45

1
José Suarez ATH
0.45 BABIP against — that crater is noise, not talent.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
2
Jack Perkins ATH
2.32-run gap between ERA and xERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
3
Mason Fluharty TOR
xERA 2.01 vs ERA 4.09 — 31.6% Ks + .377 BABIP.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
4
Ryne Stanek STL
27.8% K rate with a .357 BABIP; buy the rebound.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
5
Jeff Hoffman TOR
36.6% K-rate with .516 BABIP — buy the noise.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
6
Andrew Painter PHI
BABIP .337 masks a 4.71 xERA — buy the rebound.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
7
Jesús Luzardo PHI
BABIP .036, xERA 3.16 — buy the gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
8
José Alvarado PHI
BABIP .464 hides a 3.45 xERA; buy the bounce.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
9
Tanner Banks PHI
BABIP .451; xERA 3.73 — regression candidate.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
10
Jake Bird NYY
BABIP .347 inflates ERA 1.2 runs above xERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
11
Trevor Rogers BAL
ERA 2.22 runs above xERA — biggest gap in sample.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
12
Chris Paddack CIN
xERA 4.77, ERA 6.9 — 2+ run gap deserves buy.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
13
Juan Mejia COL
37% BABIP against fuels 2-run ERA-xERA gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
14
Will Vest DET
3.86-run ERA–xERA gap — regression incoming.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
15
Mike Burrows HOU
xERA 4.11 vs ERA 5.4 — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
16
Sean Manaea NYM
BABIP .343 cratering a 4.08 xERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
17
Landen Roupp SF
xERA 3.28 vs ERA 4.22 — 26.6% K rate backs it.
Buy Lowconf 0.88
18
Mark Leiter Jr.ATH
xERA 4.62, BABIP .361 — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.85
19
Andrew Morris MIN
BABIP .347 inflates ERA; xERA 3.33 tells truth.
Buy Lowconf 0.85
20
Slade Cecconi CLE
BABIP .332 inflates ERA; xERA 4.62 tells truer story.
Buy Lowconf 0.79
21
Edmundo Sosa PHI
xwOBA .348, wOBA .264 – 84-point gap screams buy.
Buy Lowconf 0.77
22
Patrick Bailey CLE
BABIP .175 — 0.120 below league, unluckiest catcher.
Buy Lowconf 0.77
23
Heriberto Hernández MIA
BABIP .236 with 45% hard-hit; xwOBA .355.
Buy Lowconf 0.75
24
Bo Bichette NYM
60-point xwOBA gap hides elite contact and K rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.74
25
Will Smith LAD
xwOBA 60 points above wOBA, 14% barrels wasted.
Buy Lowconf 0.73
26
Lawrence Butler ATH
Sub-.240 BABIP hiding a 46% hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.72
27
Chris Bassitt BAL
.335 BABIP with a 14.7% K-rate – batted-ball luck.
Buy Lowconf 0.72
28
Randal Grichuk CWS
xwOBA .382, BABIP .275 — 54-point underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.71
29
Henry Davis PIT
.288 xwOBA with just a .237 wOBA; BABIP unluck.
Buy Lowconf 0.70
30
Tyler Stephenson CIN
BABIP 80 points below league; exit velo and barrels back it.
Buy Lowconf 0.70
31
Nick Castellanos SD
wOBA .241 vs xwOBA .285 — all BABIP, no quality.
Buy Lowconf 0.69
32
Marcell Ozuna PIT
xwOBA .308, wOBA .261 – 47-point gap screams buying opp.
Buy Lowconf 0.69
33
Austin Wells NYY
BABIP .220 despite 46% hard-hit — expect regression.
Buy Lowconf 0.69
34
Jo Adell LAA
xwOBA 44 points above wOBA; barrels 8.9% and BABIP .275.
Buy Lowconf 0.69
35
José Ramírez CLE
BABIP .234 despite 90.3 avg exit velo — buying the gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.69
36
Dillon Dingler DET
Hard-hit rate 49.7%, xwOBA .406 — due for regression.
Buy Lowconf 0.69
37
Manny Machado SD
BABIP .176, but 44% hard-hit and xwOBA 40 points higher.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
38
Jackson Merrill SD
xwOBA 40 points above actual, with elite hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
39
Ketel Marte AZ
xwOBA .378, .340 wOBA — 38-point underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
40
Mookie Betts LAD
BABIP .169 vs xwOBA .332 — massive luck correction due.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
41
Marcus Semien NYM
xwOBA 42 points above wOBA — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
42
Mark Vientos NYM
BABIP 40 points under league; hard-hit rate top-20.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
43
Bryce Harper PHI
Barrel rate 14% vs .272 BABIP — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.67
44
Pete Alonso BAL
95 mph EVs and 12% barrels; BABIP-driven underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.66
45
Will Benson CIN
xwOBA .032 above wOBA — unlucky, but 30% Ks linger.
Buy Lowconf 0.66