Buy-Low — league-wide

34 players · 34 calls·Week 25, September 10, 2026

Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group

Buy-Low34

1
Connor Prielipp MIN vs
95.6 mph fastball, .313 xwOBA — the 5.25 ERA is .324 BABIP noise.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
2
Cade Gibson MIA vs
5.44 ERA hides a 3.84 xERA — 1.6 runs of bad luck
Buy Lowconf 0.90
3
Brendon Little TOR vs
44.7% BABIP against a 33% K rate — ERA will fall
Buy Lowconf 0.90
4
Grant Wolfram BAL vs
4.86 ERA hides 3.49 xERA; .349 BABIP is the thief
Buy Lowconf 0.90
5
Brandon Eisert PIT vs
6.00 ERA vs 3.57 xERA — 90 mph fastball masks it
Buy Lowconf 0.90
6
Jordan Hicks CWS vs
99.4 mph fastball, 2.96 xERA, 4.39 ERA — bad luck gap
Buy Lowconf 0.90
7
José Urquidy CWS vs
5.28 ERA vs 3.39 xERA; 16% K rate is the drag.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
8
Michael Rucker SEA vs
6.69 ERA, 4.17 xERA — 96 mph heat says fluke.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
9
José Alvarado PHI vs
97.2 mph fastball, .368 BABIP noise masking 3.84 xERA
Buy Lowconf 0.90
10
Jack Perkins ATH vs
6.53 ERA hides 4.06 xERA and 95.7 mph heat.
Buy Lowconf 0.90
11
David Morgan SD vs
97.6 mph fastball, .408 BABIP driving 4.62 ERA
Buy Lowconf 0.90
12
Bennett Sousa HOU vs
5.79 ERA, 3.89 xERA — .375 BABIP inflates it
Buy Lowconf 0.90
13
Drew Sommers DET vs
36% K rate, 2.18 xERA, but .377 BABIP against
Buy Lowconf 0.90
14
Andrew Morris MIN vs
97.3 mph fastball, .275 xwOBA allowed, 0.94 ERA gap
Buy Lowconf 0.88
15
Daniel Palencia CHC vs
99.2 mph heater, .351 BABIP inflating a 4.91 ERA
Buy Lowconf 0.85
16
Tyler Zuber MIA vs
95.4 mph fastball, 25.5% Ks, .330 BABIP masks a 3.49 xERA
Buy Lowconf 0.84
17
Jason Foley SF vs
96.6 mph heat, but 13.8% K rate is the red flag
Buy Lowconf 0.81
18
Bo Naylor MIL vs
.175 BABIP with 12.3% barrels — buy the gap
Buy Lowconf 0.79
19
Ke'Bryan Hayes CIN vs
.164 BABIP with 40.8% hard-hit and only 19.6% Ks
Buy Lowconf 0.79
20
Quinn Mathews STL vs
0.319 BABIP inflates a 3.52 xERA arm
Buy Lowconf 0.78
21
Geoff Hartlieb ATH vs
95 mph heat, 13.6% K rate — hard contact finds gloves anyway
Buy Lowconf 0.78
22
Brady Basso ATH vs
0.348 BABIP masks a 3.84 xERA and 16.6% K rate
Buy Lowconf 0.74
23
Taylor Rogers MIN vs
BABIP .335 and velo down to 92 — ERA is the mirage.
Buy Lowconf 0.74
24
Shane Drohan MIL vs
xERA 3.67 beats 4.09 ERA; .317 BABIP inflates it
Buy Lowconf 0.73
25
Dustin May MIL vs
97 mph fastball, .324 BABIP luck — xERA 4.29 says buy
Buy Lowconf 0.72
26
Aaron Ashby MIL vs
97.3 mph fastball, 31% Ks, .333 BABIP luck tax
Buy Lowconf 0.72
27
Will Smith LAD vs
xwOBA .379 vs .317 wOBA — 62 points of bad BABIP luck
Buy Lowconf 0.72
28
Nelson Velázquez HOU vs
62% hard-hit with .232 BABIP; strikeouts the only drag
Buy Lowconf 0.71
29
Carlos Narváez BAL vs
BABIP .234 hides 91 mph contact — but 32% Ks cap it
Buy Lowconf 0.69
30
Patrick Bailey CLE vs
BABIP .253 hides 41.5% hard-hit contact and a .041 xwOBA gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.68
31
Ramón Urías STL vs
.145 BABIP with a 10.6% barrel rate — buy the crash.
Buy Lowconf 0.67
32
J.T. Realmuto PHI vs
.249 BABIP with 41% hard-hit — contact says buy the dip
Buy Lowconf 0.67
33
Xander Bogaerts SD vs
BABIP 0.249 masks hard-hit 41% and 18% K rate
Buy Lowconf 0.66
34
Edgar Quero CWS vs
BABIP .245 with 19.9% Ks and 90.7 mph exit velo.
Buy Lowconf 0.66