Buy-Low — league-wide
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy-Low42
- 1
5.52 ERA hides 3.76 xERA; 90 mph velo caps upside
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2
6.07 ERA over 3.98 xERA; .373 BABIP is the whole gap
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 3
6.10 ERA hides 4.09 xERA; .323 BABIP inflates it.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 4
xERA 3.32 vs. 6.35 ERA — a .421 BABIP is doing the damage
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 5
97.4 mph heater, xERA 3.35 — the 4.40 ERA is .319 BABIP noise.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 6Buy Lowconf 0.90
- 7
5.88 ERA hides a 4.27 xERA; .360 BABIP won't hold
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 8
5.86 ERA over 4.12 xERA; .380 BABIP-against won't hold
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 9
BABIP-against .389 against a .295 league norm screams buy-low.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 10
99.4 mph fastball, .262 xwOBA allowed — BABIP noise hides the ace
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 11
5.67 ERA vs 3.81 xERA; 95.5 mph fastball and 6.3% walks say buy
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 12
6.33 ERA over a 3.92 xERA — 24-point BABIP tax.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 13
36.7% K rate, 2.18 xERA — .369 BABIP is the whole gap
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 14
6.00 ERA hides 4.15 xERA; .365 BABIP-against won't hold.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 15
5.19 ERA hides a 4.09 xERA; .321 BABIP is the culprit
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 16Buy Lowconf 0.90
- 17
4.43 ERA masks 3.22 xERA; .377 BABIP-against won't hold
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 18
99.8 mph fastball, 37% Ks: .316 BABIP inflates 4.24 ERA over 3.27 xERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.89 - 19
BABIP-against .349 inflates a 4.01 xERA; 90.7 mph is the real cap.
Buy Lowconf 0.88 - 20
BABIP .337 against a 3.92 xERA; buy the correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.87 - 21
0.36 BABIP against masks a 3.5 xERA, 95.5 mph heat
Buy Lowconf 0.84 - 22
96 mph velo, 30% Ks — BABIP noise inflates the 4.60 ERA
Buy Lowconf 0.83 - 23
98.3 mph heat, .322 BABIP inflating a 4.46 ERA
Buy Lowconf 0.80 - 24
BABIP .155 vs .295 — 96 points of bad luck, not skill
Buy Lowconf 0.79 - 25
96.6 mph heat, 29.8% Ks; .320 BABIP inflates the 4.79 ERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.76 - 26
3.20 xERA, .277 xwOBA allowed — better than the 3.74 ERA says.
Buy Lowconf 0.76 - 27Buy Lowconf 0.75
- 28
4.03 xERA and .309 xwOBA say the 4.51 ERA is .315 BABIP noise
Buy Lowconf 0.74 - 29
96.9 mph heater, .333 BABIP against inflating a 3.76 xERA
Buy Lowconf 0.72 - 30
98.4 mph fastball, .322 BABIP inflating a 4.03 xERA
Buy Lowconf 0.72 - 31
4.19 ERA masks 3.81 xERA; .316 BABIP-against inflates it
Buy Lowconf 0.71 - 32
61.5% hard-hit with .220 BABIP — contact deserves better.
Buy Lowconf 0.71 - 33
xwOBA .283 allowed, but a .318 BABIP hides a 3.35 xERA
Buy Lowconf 0.70 - 34
.239 BABIP with 40% hard-hit — quietly unlucky catcher
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 35
31.6% strikeouts but .234 BABIP screams correction
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 36
45% hard-hit with a 15% K rate — BABIP drags a real profile
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 37
42% hard-hit with a .256 BABIP — quietly unlucky contact bat.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 38
43.8% hard-hit but a .269 BABIP is suppressing the line
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 39
48% hard-hit under .232 BABIP, but 32% K chokes it
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 40
48.9% hard-hit with a .254 BABIP — that gap closes.
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 41
BABIP .240 suppresses a 90.7 mph exit velo and 19.8% K rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 42
Hard-hit 42.7% and BABIP .251 — hits are coming
Buy Lowconf 0.66