Sell-High — league-wide

107 players · 107 calls·Week 17, July 18, 2026

Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group

Sell-High107

1
Robbie Ray SF vs
BABIP .239, xERA 4.61 — 1.23 run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
2
Nick Davila SEA vs
1.86 ERA vs 3.69 xERA, sub-12% Ks.
Sell Highconf 0.95
3
Yuki Matsui SD vs
ERA 2.73 with xERA 4.07 — 1.34-run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
4
Michael McGreevy STL vs
xERA 5.34 vs ERA 3.01; 2.3-run gap unsupported.
Sell Highconf 0.95
5
Michael King SD vs
xERA 4.55, BABIP-driven 3.41 gap of 1.14 runs.
Sell Highconf 0.95
6
JT Brubaker SF vs
BABIP .223 and xERA 4.55 — luck will fade.
Sell Highconf 0.95
7
Gabe Speier SEA vs
2.22 ERA hides 4.22 xERA with .254 BABIP-against.
Sell Highconf 0.95
8
Emerson Hancock SEA vs
xERA 4.30 vs 3.17 ERA — regression due.
Sell Highconf 0.95
9
Gordon Graceffo STL vs
0.183 BABIP hides 5.73 xERA, K rate 13% underwhelms.
Sell Highconf 0.95
10
Kevin Kelly TB vs
2.44 ERA hides a 4.3 xERA and .238 BABIP.
Sell Highconf 0.95
11
Nick Martinez TB vs
ERA 2.65 vs xERA 4.67 — 2-run gap, 14.5% Ks.
Sell Highconf 0.95
12
Shane McClanahan TB vs
ERA 2.83 belies a 3.99 xERA — regression due.
Sell Highconf 0.95
13
Cal Quantrill TEX vs
2.47 gap in ERA vs xERA; no K to sustain it.
Sell Highconf 0.95
14
Tyler Rogers TOR vs
12.2% K-rate with a 1.06-run ERA–xERA gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
15
Yoendrys Gómez MIN vs
3.50 ERA, 5.06 xERA — 1.56-run gap screams regression.
Sell Highconf 0.95
16
Grant Holmes ATL vs
0.94 run gap between ERA and xERA — all BABIP luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95
17
Reynaldo López ATL vs
xERA 4.48 vs 3.50 ERA — nearly a run of luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95
18
Sean Newcomb CWS vs
2.52 ERA with 3.66 xERA — a full run of luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95
19
Max Meyer MIA vs
ERA 2.58 vs xERA 3.77 — 1.19-run mirage.
Sell Highconf 0.95
20
Cam Schlittler NYY vs
ERA 2.05 vs xERA 2.98 — regression incoming.
Sell Highconf 0.95
21
Paul Blackburn NYY vs
2.22 ERA hides a 3.48 xERA; regression looms.
Sell Highconf 0.95
22
Eduardo Rodriguez AZ vs
ERA 2.29 hides a 5.06 xERA — regression is baked in.
Sell Highconf 0.95
23
Taylor Clarke AZ vs
14.6% strikeout rate, BABIP-fueled 2.59 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.95
24
Yennier Cano BAL vs
ERA 2.32 with 3.36 xERA — a run of luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95
25
Ryan Watson BOS vs
xERA 6.15 — a run and a half worse than ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.95
26
Sonny Gray BOS vs
2.54 ERA despite 3.61 xERA — 1 run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
27
Trent Thornton CHC vs
11.8% K rate with a 4.99 xERA — regression looms.
Sell Highconf 0.95
28
Brock Burke CIN vs
14.1% walk rate, xERA 4.51 — command crater.
Sell Highconf 0.95
29
Pierce Johnson CIN vs
BABIP .243, xERA 6.23 — a 2-run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
30
Colin Holderman CLE vs
ERA 1.78 vs xERA 3.07 — luck cannot sustain.
Sell Highconf 0.95
31
Tanner Bibee CLE vs
.242 BABIP with a 4.64 xERA — regression due.
Sell Highconf 0.95
32
Troy Melton DET vs
BABIP .172 — regression will find him.
Sell Highconf 0.95
33
Justin Wrobleski LAD vs
2.69 ERA hides 4.1 xERA, walk rate bails him out.
Sell Highconf 0.95
34
Foster Griffin WSH vs
.242 BABIP masks 3.82 xERA; regression overdue.
Sell Highconf 0.95
35
Zack Littell WSH vs
6.39 xERA vs 4.90 ERA; BABIP hiding a 14.8% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95
36
PJ Poulin WSH vs
ERA 2.70 hides a 5.34 xERA; .225 BABIP due to regress.
Sell Highconf 0.95
37
A.J. Minter NYM vs
1.42 ERA but 2.82 xERA — 1.4-run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
38
Brooks Raley NYM vs
ERA 2.02 vs xERA 3.64 — 1.6-run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.95
39
José Fermin LAA vs
ERA 3.21 but xERA 4.19 — 0.98-run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.94
40
Albert Suárez BAL vs
xERA 4.51, ERA 3.54 — nearly a run of luck.
Sell Highconf 0.94
41
Daniel Lynch IV KC vs
BABIP .21, xERA 3.33 — luck-driven ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.94
42
Garrett Whitlock BOS vs
2.18 ERA but 3.12 xERA — 0.94 run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.93
43
Spencer Arrighetti HOU vs
5.2 xERA with a 12.4% walk rate spells trouble.
Sell Highconf 0.93
44
Jacob Latz TEX vs
BABIP .155 is unsustainable; xERA 2.53 real.
Sell Highconf 0.92
45
Javier Assad CHC vs
BABIP .237 hides a 4.77 xERA and 15.2% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.91
46
Chase Burns CIN vs
ERA 2.54 vs xERA 3.14; 0.60 run luck gap.
Sell Highconf 0.89
47
Kody Funderburk MIN vs
14.8% K rate with a .229 BABIP — regression incoming.
Sell Highconf 0.88
48
Chad Patrick MIL vs
xERA 4.13 but ERA 3.56 off .268 BABIP.
Sell Highconf 0.88
49
Jonathan Loáisiga AZ vs
17.9% K rate won't sustain a 2.17 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.88
50
Luke Weaver NYM vs
2.02 ERA propped by .200 BABIP; xERA is 2.84.
Sell Highconf 0.88
51
Ryan Feltner COL vs
5.09 xERA, .255 BABIP — Coors pitcher reality.
Sell Highconf 0.87
52
Yohan Ramírez PIT vs
Walks 13.6% — that command won't hold a 3.31 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.85
53
Bryan Baker TB vs
0.200 BABIP against — regression incoming fast.
Sell Highconf 0.85
54
Zack Wheeler PHI vs
ERA 2.13 but xERA 2.63 — 0.50 run gap from .239 BABIP.
Sell Highconf 0.85
55
Parker Messick CLE vs
xERA 3.23 and a .260 BABIP mask real skill.
Sell Highconf 0.85
56
Logan Gilbert SEA vs
ERA 3.32 but xERA 3.79 — 0.47 run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.84
57
George Soriano STL vs
BABIP .225 won't hold — xERA nearly 4.00.
Sell Highconf 0.82
58
Spencer Miles TOR vs
ERA 2.85 with xERA 3.28 and .265 BABIP — sell.
Sell Highconf 0.82
59
Jacob Misiorowski MIL vs
xERA 2.05 is elite, but .229 BABIP won't stick.
Sell Highconf 0.82
60
Chase Petty CIN vs
10.7% strikeouts, 0.203 BABIP — luck not skill.
Sell Highconf 0.82
61
Tejay Antone CIN vs
xERA 2.93, but BABIP .203 is not sustainable.
Sell Highconf 0.82
62
J.T. Ginn ATH vs
.255 BABIP has saved him; xERA is 4.07.
Sell Highconf 0.81
63
Noah Schultz CWS vs
12.6% walk rate with xERA 6 — control is broken.
Sell Highconf 0.81
64
Seranthony Domínguez CWS vs
xERA 5.06 despite 28% K rate; .253 BABIP masks it.
Sell Highconf 0.81
65
Fernando Cruz NYY vs
ERA 2.25 but xERA 2.89 — 0.6-run gap.
Sell Highconf 0.81
66
Walbert Ureña LAA vs
13% walk rate undermines a 3.28 xERA.
Sell Highconf 0.81
67
Eury Pérez MIA vs
xERA 4.16, BABIP .254 — surface hides it.
Sell Highconf 0.80
68
Jake McCarthy COL vs
85 mph exit velo with .055 wOBA-xwOBA gap.
Sell Highconf 0.79
69
Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD vs
xERA 3.21, but .229 BABIP inflating surface line.
Sell Highconf 0.79
70
Keibert Ruiz WSH vs
xwOBA .274 — 55-point gap with wOBA signals overperformance.
Sell Highconf 0.79
71
Tristan Peters CWS vs
BABIP .354 buoying a bat with just 30.9% hard hit.
Sell Highconf 0.78
72
TJ Rumfield COL vs
BABIP-driven .374 wOBA with 83.8 mph exit velo.
Sell Highconf 0.78
73
Mike Paredes MIN vs
xERA 5.16 with a .228 BABIP — regression incoming.
Sell Highconf 0.77
74
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS vs
BABIP-fueled .333 wOBA masks .286 xwOBA.
Sell Highconf 0.77
75
Jake Mangum PIT vs
.043 wOBA-xwOBA gap fueled by .371 BABIP.
Sell Highconf 0.76
76
Alika Williams ATH vs
BABIP .357 inflates a .223 xwOBA — regression incoming.
Sell Highconf 0.76
77
Tyler Tolbert KC vs
BABIP .429 with .312 xwOBA — a .082 gap.
Sell Highconf 0.76
78
Dylan Dodd ATL vs
xERA 2.89 but .167 BABIP against — noise.
Sell Highconf 0.75
79
Otto Lopez MIA vs
.376 wOBA vs .336 xwOBA — 40-point gap screams regression.
Sell Highconf 0.75
80
Andrew Vaughn MIL vs
Barrels a pitiful 3.8% despite elite contact skills.
Sell Highconf 0.75
81
Esmerlyn Valdez PIT vs
.404 BABIP on 36% Ks — luck can't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.74
82
Germán Márquez SD vs
15.5% K rate; xERA 5.66 says decline is real.
Sell Highconf 0.74
83
Orion Kerkering PHI vs
BABIP-against .222 — regression incoming.
Sell Highconf 0.74
84
Chase Meidroth CWS vs
BABIP-driven .322 wOBA, xwOBA just .287.
Sell Highconf 0.74
85
Javier Sanoja MIA vs
1.4% barrel rate can't sustain .313 wOBA.
Sell Highconf 0.74
86
Clayton Beeter WSH vs
BABIP .23 — regression incoming for a 4.1 xERA arm.
Sell Highconf 0.74
87
José Fermín STL vs
85 mph exit velo, 2% barrel rate — no power.
Sell Highconf 0.73
88
Luis Campusano SD vs
.415 wOBA, but .344 xwOBA — 71-point gap.
Sell Highconf 0.73
89
Rico Garcia BAL vs
.177 BABIP against — regression freight train.
Sell Highconf 0.73
90
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC vs
xwOBA 0.364, but BABIP .359 masks regression risk.
Sell Highconf 0.73
91
Nathan Lukes TOR vs
xwOBA 30 points below wOBA, .321 BABIP doing the work.
Sell Highconf 0.72
92
Dean Kremer BAL vs
xERA sits at 4.48, BABIP .184 won't stick.
Sell Highconf 0.71
93
Tyler Wells BAL vs
xERA 3.43, ERA 3.02 — regression coming.
Sell Highconf 0.71
94
Donovan Walton ATH vs
BABIP 0.371 vs xwOBA 0.312 — luck-driven line.
Sell Highconf 0.70
95
Nicky Lopez TEX vs
BABIP .361 with zero barrels and xwOBA .257.
Sell Highconf 0.70
96
Braydon Fisher TOR vs
BABIP .236 hiding 11.6% walk rate behind ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.70
97
Dylan Lee ATL vs
34% K but a .213 BABIP against — regression incoming.
Sell Highconf 0.69
98
Alex Vesia LAD vs
BABIP .235; skill is real but surface is flattering.
Sell Highconf 0.69
99
Jorge Barrosa AZ vs
xwOBA .216 — bottom-5 contact and a BABIP that's not helping.
Sell Highconf 0.68
100
Tyler Callihan PIT vs
BABIP .327 obscures sub-.290 xwOBA and 30% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.67
101
Braxton Fulford COL vs
40.9% strikeout rate; xwOBA .215 is unredeemable.
Sell Highconf 0.67
102
Nick Allen HOU vs
xwOBA .226 — worst contact in the league.
Sell Highconf 0.66
103
Max Schuemann NYY vs
xwOBA 0.338, but empty .376 wOBA — gap will shrink.
Sell Highconf 0.65
104
Austin Hedges CLE vs
BABIP .337 masks .298 xwOBA — regression looms.
Sell Highconf 0.65
105
Cole Carrigg COL vs
Hard-hit rate 30.8% — exit velo 85.9 mph cannot sustain.
Sell Highconf 0.65
106
Ryan Kreidler MIN vs
wOBA outpaces xwOBA by .035, no power to sustain.
Sell Highconf 0.64
107
Connor Wong BOS vs
BABIP .373 masks bottom-tier exit velo of 85.9.
Sell Highconf 0.62