Sell-High — league-wide
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Sell-High98
- 1
15.8% strikeout rate can't hold a 3.18 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 2
1.66 ERA masks 3.24 xERA; .233 BABIP won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 3
13.4% strikeout rate can't hold a 1.81 ERA forever
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 4
11.6% strikeout rate can't support a 3.06 ERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 5
ERA 2.42 hides a 3.84 xERA — sell before it corrects
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 6
2.55 ERA masks a 4.32 xERA and 18% K rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 7
0.208 BABIP against is carrying a 2.79 ERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 8
3.25 ERA, 4.75 xERA — 1.5-run BABIP mirage
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 9
3.46 ERA hides 4.72 xERA and .257 BABIP luck
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 10
3.24 ERA hides 4.11 xERA and .265 BABIP luck
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 11
2.74 ERA hides 4.06 xERA and 17% strikeout rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 12
13.1% strikeout rate; 4.03 ERA hides the 5.39 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 13
BABIP-against .232 vs .295 league — ERA inflated by luck
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 14
2.52 ERA hides a 3.86 xERA and .235 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 15
2.70 ERA hides a 4.50 xERA and .207 BABIP luck
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 16
2.89 ERA hides a .242 BABIP-against mirage
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 17
1.72 ERA hides a 3.54 xERA and .225 BABIP luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 18
3.42 ERA hides 4.35 xERA and 11.2% walk rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 19
0.206 BABIP masks a 14% walk rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 20
3.04 ERA hides 4.2 xERA and 14.8% strikeout rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 21
2.31 ERA but xERA sits 1.36 runs higher
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 22
3.39 ERA hides a 4.78 xERA and 12% walks
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 23
0.226 BABIP against flatters a 3.65 xERA.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 24
7.33 xERA screams sell-high despite .250 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 25
BABIP .227 masks an ERA 0.8 runs better than xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 26
3.00 ERA hides 4.35 xERA; .253 BABIP won't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 27
2.02 ERA flatters a 2.9 xERA; BABIP .257 won't last
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 28
2.46 ERA hides 4.2 xERA and 15.9% strikeout rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 29
3.50 ERA hides a 5.18 xERA and 12.4% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 30
3.51 ERA hides 4.59 xERA and 18.9% strikeout rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 31
0.203 BABIP-against carries a 1.61 ERA over a 3.08 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 32
0.227 BABIP against propping up a 1.33 ERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 33
2.83 ERA vs 4.06 xERA, and a .249 BABIP propping it up
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 34
3.58 ERA propped by .238 BABIP and 16.5% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 35
15.3% strikeout rate propping up a 5.08 xERA arm.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 36
ERA 2.50 flatters xERA 3.62; walks at 13.3% erode it
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 37
3.26 ERA hides 4.26 xERA, a full-run gift
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 38
2.79 ERA hides 3.81 xERA, .261 BABIP won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 39
2.42 ERA hides 3.67 xERA and a .236 BABIP.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 40
3.15 ERA hides 3.95 xERA — BABIP flattering him .261
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 41
14% strikeout rate can't survive .235 BABIP regression
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 42
3.84 ERA hides 4.72 xERA; .266 BABIP won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 43Sell Highconf 0.94
- 44
3.20 ERA hides 3.89 xERA and 13.3% walk rate
Sell Highconf 0.93 - 45
BABIP-against .248 hides a 3.67 xERA and 11.8% walks.
Sell Highconf 0.92 - 46
.177 BABIP props up a 1.85 ERA; xERA says 2.51
Sell Highconf 0.91 - 47
0.246 BABIP masks a 3.39 xERA and 11.8% walk rate
Sell Highconf 0.91 - 48
BABIP .197 is 100 points of pure luck
Sell Highconf 0.91 - 49
16.3 K% can't hold a 4.00 ERA; xERA says 4.63
Sell Highconf 0.90 - 50
0.181 BABIP against won't hold; ERA 0.89 vs xERA 1.77
Sell Highconf 0.90 - 51
32.4% K rate, 0.259 xwOBA — but the ERA gap says sell
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 52
0.255 BABIP against is 40 points of pure luck.
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 53
.206 BABIP against — 89 points of pure defense luck
Sell Highconf 0.88 - 54
16.3% walk rate undermines that 29% strikeout stuff.
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 55
xERA 3.62 sits 0.56 runs above his shiny 3.06 ERA
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 56
19% K rate can't hold a 2.43 ERA forever
Sell Highconf 0.86 - 57
3.51 ERA hides a 16.8% K rate and .240 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.86 - 58
0.221 BABIP against flatters a 2.44 ERA over 2.94 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.85 - 59
2.53 ERA hides a 3.03 xERA; bat-missing real, luck isn't
Sell Highconf 0.85 - 60
0.7% barrels and 84 mph exit velo can't hold .326 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.84 - 61
.465 BABIP hiding a .223 xwOBA and 33% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 62
.241 BABIP-against is 54 points of pure luck
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 63
0.26 BABIP props up 2.83 ERA over 3.49 xERA.
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 64Sell Highconf 0.80
- 65
35% strikeouts, but a .269 BABIP won't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 66
BABIP-against .232 vs .295 norm; K% 29.5 masks it.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 67
0.224 BABIP-against, 0.36-run gap: regression is coming
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 68
.185 BABIP against fuels a 2.00 ERA mirage
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 69
32% strikeouts and 85 mph contact won't hold a .340 wOBA
Sell Highconf 0.78 - 70
0.261 BABIP props up 1.88 ERA over 2.45 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.78 - 71
2.2% barrels: contact skills, zero thump
Sell Highconf 0.77 - 72
11% strikeout rate hides a .285 xwOBA bat
Sell Highconf 0.77 - 73
BABIP .358 masks a 5.4% barrel rate.
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 74Sell Highconf 0.75
- 75
16% strikeouts, 15.4% walks — xERA 6.46 confirms it
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 76
84 mph exit velo, 28% hard-hit — contact can't hold .375 wOBA
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 77
wOBA .355 but xwOBA .319 and 34% hard-hit
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 78
.335 BABIP propping up a .292 xwOBA bat
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 79
37.7% strikeout rate undercuts 20.3% barrel power
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 80
Barrel rate 11.7% but BABIP fuels a .365 wOBA
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 81
BABIP .350 inflates a .343 xwOBA; 87.9 mph bat won't hold it.
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 82
xwOBA .289 under a .321 wOBA; the gap is the sell
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 83
28.7% hard-hit with a .353 wOBA that outruns the contact
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 84
wOBA .382 outpacing xwOBA by 33 points — sell the surface
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 85
BABIP .343 masks 28.3% strikeouts and .235 xwOBA.
Sell Highconf 0.72 - 86
82.4 mph exit velo and 1.4% barrels — empty average.
Sell Highconf 0.71 - 87
28.4 K% and a .064 wOBA-xwOBA luck gap
Sell Highconf 0.71 - 88
0.135 BABIP with a 15.9% strikeout rate won't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.71 - 89
.230 BABIP-against masks a 4.06 xERA and middling whiffs.
Sell Highconf 0.71 - 90
17.9% barrels mask a .361 BABIP that won't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.70 - 91
.351 wOBA propped by .360 BABIP; 26% hard-hit says it's hollow
Sell Highconf 0.69 - 92
BABIP .424 but 17% hard-hit and zero barrels.
Sell Highconf 0.68 - 93
BABIP .372 propping up a .293 xwOBA bat
Sell Highconf 0.67 - 94
Hard-Hit 24.8% — Barrosa's contact can't support the surface line.
Sell Highconf 0.67 - 95
xwOBA .252 with 28% hard-hit — contact is a mirage.
Sell Highconf 0.67 - 96
BABIP .456 masks 83.8 mph exit velo and 29.5% Ks
Sell Highconf 0.65 - 97
BABIP .351 masks 3.9% barrels and 34% hard-hit.
Sell Highconf 0.64 - 98
Hard-Hit 19.5% with a .329 BABIP propping him up.
Sell Highconf 0.64