Sell-High — league-wide
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Sell-High125
- 1
15.5% strikeouts can't sustain a 2.62 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 2
3.21 ERA hides a 4.42 xERA and .260 BABIP luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 3
3.59 ERA hides a 4.82 xERA and 12% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 4
0.204 BABIP props up 1.83 ERA over 3.03 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 5
ERA 4.55 hides a 6.23 xERA and 16% strikeouts.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 6
3.58 ERA hides 5.02 xERA and a 15.6% strikeout rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 7
14.6% strikeout rate; .260 BABIP masks a 5.69 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 8
.221 BABIP masks a 19% K rate and 4.60 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 9
BABIP-against .204 versus .295 league — 1.44 ERA won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 10
4.34 ERA hides 5.19 xERA; .261 BABIP won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 11
2.44 ERA hides a 3.37 xERA; .251 BABIP won't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 12
15% strikeouts with a 3.10 ERA flatters him.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 13
3.36 ERA hides a 4.3 xERA and .255 BABIP-against.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 14
2.41 ERA hides a 15.5% strikeout rate and .240 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 15
3.21 ERA hides 4.24 xERA and a 14% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 16
4.37 ERA hides a 5.99 xERA and 18% strikeout rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 17
13.6% strikeout rate can't hold a 1.77 ERA forever.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 18
2.56 ERA hides 3.84 xERA; .246 BABIP against won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 19
3.44 ERA hides a 5.05 xERA and 18% strikeouts.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 20
3.04 ERA masks 4.51 xERA; 17% K rate won't hold it
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 21Sell Highconf 0.95
- 22
1.06 ERA hides a 3.35 xERA and .240 BABIP luck.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 23
16% strikeouts can't sustain a 3.83 ERA over 4.79 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 24
BABIP-against .192 won't hold; 37% K rate is real.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 25Sell Highconf 0.95
- 26
3.34 ERA hides a 4.73 xERA and 18.8% K rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 27
1.95 ERA hides a 2.85 xERA, so profit now.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 28
.220 BABIP against is propping up a 2.67 ERA over 3.89 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 29
16% strikeout rate can't hold a 3.28 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 30Sell Highconf 0.95
- 31
1.59 ERA rides a .230 BABIP; xERA says 3.68
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 32
2.04 ERA hides a 4.79 xERA and 18% strikeouts.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 33
xERA 2.81 backs the arm; ERA gap is small change.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 34
3.40 ERA hides a 4.30 xERA and 10.9% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 35Sell Highconf 0.95
- 36
3.67 ERA propped up by .273 BABIP; xERA says 5.58
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 37
2.90 ERA hides a 4.30 xERA and 18% strikeouts
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 38
2.96 ERA hides a 4.42 xERA and 15.6% strikeouts.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 39
1.91 ERA masks a 3.08 xERA; 17% K rate can't hold it.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 40
3.63 ERA hides 4.48 xERA and 16.7% strikeouts
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 41
18.5% strikeout rate can't hold a 3.91 ERA up
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 42
3.35 ERA hides 4.95 xERA; 15.8% K rate won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 43
2.30 ERA hides a 3.65 xERA and 12.7% walk rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 44
2.73 ERA hides a 3.87 xERA; BABIP-against .243 won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 45
10.8% strikeout rate: 5.06 ERA hides a 6.07 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 46
2.75 ERA hides a .248 BABIP; xERA says 3.84.
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 47
.230 BABIP fuels 2.13 ERA, but xERA sits at 3.13
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 48
3.66 ERA hides a 4.54 xERA; low BABIP won't save it
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 49
3.33 ERA masks a 4.27 xERA — sell before it catches up
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 50
3.42 ERA hides 4.51 xERA; only 18.7% K rate
Sell Highconf 0.95 - 51
15.6% strikeouts and 13% walks — nothing under the 5.30 ERA
Sell Highconf 0.94 - 52
3.32 ERA hides a 4.01 xERA; .246 BABIP won't hold.
Sell Highconf 0.93 - 53
0.188 BABIP-against won't hold; xERA already 1.93.
Sell Highconf 0.92 - 54
10.8% strikeout rate; .236 BABIP hides a 5.73 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.91 - 55
2.42 ERA hides 3.01 xERA and 18.4% strikeout rate.
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 56
15.5% strikeout rate hides a 5.05 xERA.
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 57
0.259 BABIP-against .295; ERA 3.11 vs xERA 3.70
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 58
2.56 ERA hides a 3.15 xERA — sell before it corrects.
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 59
0.255 BABIP masks a 4.27 xERA and 10.5% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.89 - 60
.253 BABIP masks a 3.87 xERA and 18.6% strikeout rate.
Sell Highconf 0.88 - 61
.223 BABIP against is noise; 2.94 xERA still says regression
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 62
ERA 2.84 rides .265 BABIP; xERA sits 3.63.
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 63
A .224 BABIP props up a 3.5 xERA and 11% walk rate.
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 64
6.19 xERA says the 5.40 ERA flatters him.
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 65
5.23 xERA under a 4.43 — 16% strikeouts can't hold that.
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 66
BABIP-against .260 masks a modest 18.7% strikeout rate
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 67
15.7% strikeouts can't survive a .240 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.87 - 68
3.90 ERA hides a 4.42 xERA; walks near 11% offset Ks
Sell Highconf 0.86 - 69
BABIP-against .184 won't hold; 30.6% K rate is real
Sell Highconf 0.86 - 70
35% K rate masks an 11.4% walk problem
Sell Highconf 0.86 - 71
.254 BABIP-against props up a 2.94 ERA over 3.70 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.85 - 72
BABIP-against .197 against a .295 league norm — regression inbound.
Sell Highconf 0.85 - 73
.319 wOBA on .248 xwOBA; 1.2% barrels can't sustain it.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 74
28% Ks but 12% walks; xERA 3.32 not 2.86
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 75
0.250 BABIP against is doing the work; xERA 4.15 says ordinary.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 76
2.90 ERA but xERA 3.35 — selling a soft-contact mirage.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 77
.316 wOBA over a .246 xwOBA, 1.7% barrels — all BABIP luck.
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 78
3.76 ERA hides a 4.21 xERA and 11.5% walks
Sell Highconf 0.83 - 79
30% strikeouts real, but 10.8% walk rate caps the ERA mirage.
Sell Highconf 0.82 - 80
.208 BABIP against — 87 points of luck under that 1.98 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 81
BABIP-against .251 masks the gap; xERA already 3.06.
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 82
17.9% strikeouts and a .250 BABIP propping up 3.23 ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 83
xERA 2.88 backs it up, but 0.27 BABIP won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 84
3.87 ERA hides a 4.27 xERA; BABIP is doing the work.
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 85
29.9% Ks but 15.3% walks undercut the 3.73 ERA
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 86
BABIP-against .217 won't hold; xERA 2.94 still elite
Sell Highconf 0.81 - 87
2.08 ERA but 23% Ks give him no real cushion
Sell Highconf 0.80 - 88
16.8% strikeout rate and .228 BABIP can't both hold
Sell Highconf 0.80 - 89
xwOBA .261 under a .317 wOBA — results outrunning 85.8 mph contact
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 90
.410 BABIP masks 84.7 mph exit velo and 20% hard-hit.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 91
xERA 5.3 and 17.6% K rate: regression is coming.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 92
BABIP-against .160 won't hold — .295 is the league norm.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 93
11.6% strikeout rate, yet xERA 7.72 says it's earned.
Sell Highconf 0.79 - 94
83 mph exit velo, .091 wOBA over xwOBA — contact won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.78 - 95
.434 BABIP masks 25% hard-hit, 86 mph bat and .309 xwOBA.
Sell Highconf 0.77 - 96Sell Highconf 0.77
- 97
.207 BABIP against won't hold; xERA sits at 3.10
Sell Highconf 0.77 - 98
8% strikeouts prop up a .342 wOBA over .295 xwOBA.
Sell Highconf 0.77 - 99
BABIP .336 masking a .285 xwOBA and 31.9% hard-hit
Sell Highconf 0.77 - 100Sell Highconf 0.76
- 101
.417 BABIP propping up a .311 xwOBA and 1.6% barrels.
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 102
BABIP .355 masks a .329 xwOBA; contact isn't carrying it
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 103
84.3 mph exit velo can't sustain a .331 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 104
.208 BABIP masks a 16.4% strikeout rate and 4.42 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 105
23.9% hard-hit behind a .277 wOBA — contact won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 106
Barrel rate 13% carries a .383 wOBA .039 over expected
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 107
10.5% K rate masks a .289 xwOBA and 5% barrels
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 108
32.9% Ks real, but .229 BABIP-against won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.75 - 109
37.6% strikeout rate caps a 19.9% barrel bat
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 110
32.7% K rate with a .245 xwOBA — sell the .328 BABIP mirage.
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 111
BABIP .339 masks .301 xwOBA and 87 mph exit velo
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 112
Hard-Hit 49.8% but wOBA outruns xwOBA by 35 points.
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 113
.343 BABIP masks a .316 xwOBA — 36-point overpay
Sell Highconf 0.74 - 114
.333 BABIP riding a 31-point wOBA over xwOBA
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 115
wOBA .313 outruns xwOBA .280; 32% hard-hit can't sustain it
Sell Highconf 0.73 - 116
14.6% strikeout rate, .245 BABIP masking a 5.51 xERA
Sell Highconf 0.72 - 117
BABIP-against .173 versus .295 league — pure noise propping up the ERA.
Sell Highconf 0.71 - 118
.404 BABIP floats a .433 wOBA over a .372 xwOBA
Sell Highconf 0.70 - 119
83 mph exit velo, 1.4% barrels — contact won't hold
Sell Highconf 0.69 - 120
.412 BABIP masks a .258 xwOBA and 29% strikeouts.
Sell Highconf 0.68 - 121Sell Highconf 0.68
- 122
84.7 mph exit velo can't sustain a .351 BABIP
Sell Highconf 0.66 - 123
33% strikeout rate and .233 xwOBA undercut the .271 wOBA
Sell Highconf 0.65 - 124
.333 BABIP inflates a .335 wOBA over .299 xwOBA
Sell Highconf 0.64 - 125
BABIP .333 masks a .287 xwOBA and 31% hard-hit.
Sell Highconf 0.63