Sell — league-wide
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Sell72
- 1
xERA 6.23 despite 3.28 ERA — sell the mirage.
Sellconf 0.90 - 2
13.6% K rate — literally last among qualified pitchers.
Sellconf 0.90 - 3
xERA 6.23, xwOBA .383 — nothing to see here.
Sellconf 0.90 - 4
3.65 ERA hides 5.27 xERA, 17.1% K-rate.
Sellconf 0.90 - 5
xERA 5.66, K% 16.3 — no way to sustain the 3.77 ERA.
Sellconf 0.90 - 6
xERA 7.29 with 14% strikeout rate — unplayable.
Sellconf 0.90 - 7
5.96 xERA and a 15.6% K-rate — no escape.
Sellconf 0.90 - 8
xERA 5.27 and a .235 BABIP flattering him.
Sellconf 0.90 - 9
xERA 6.47, K% 15.1 — no swing-and-miss at all.
Sellconf 0.90 - 10
xERA 6.35; the contact is destruction, not luck.
Sellconf 0.90 - 11
15.4% K-rate and xERA 5.88 — no skill here.
Sellconf 0.90 - 12
xERA 5.20 with a .339 BABIP mask.
Sellconf 0.88 - 13
5.2 xERA, 16% K rate — command can't save him.
Sellconf 0.88 - 14
5.17 xERA with 16% K rate and 12% walks.
Sellconf 0.87 - 15Sellconf 0.86
- 16
12.4% walk rate drives a 5.10 xERA.
Sellconf 0.85 - 17
xERA 5.07 — 86th percentile in batted-ball damage.
Sellconf 0.84 - 18
14.5% K rate with a 5.07 xERA — no escape.
Sellconf 0.84 - 19
xERA 5.03 with a .233 BABIP — regression incoming.
Sellconf 0.83 - 20
xERA 4.97 yet 4.02 ERA; 15.5% K rate sinks him.
Sellconf 0.81 - 21Sellconf 0.81
- 22
xERA 4.77, xwOBA .342 — both well above league.
Sellconf 0.75 - 23
ERA 3.76 hides xERA 4.74 and .331 BABIP.
Sellconf 0.74 - 24
xERA 4.71, K% 19.5 — velocity and whiff decline.
Sellconf 0.73 - 25
12% walk rate sinks a high-strikeout arm.
Sellconf 0.72 - 26
15% walk rate sinks an otherwise league-average arm.
Sellconf 0.71 - 27
14.4% K-rate, no skill to prop up the ERA.
Sellconf 0.70 - 28
4.59 xERA matches ERA; no luck to blame.
Sellconf 0.70 - 29
Barrel rate 1.4% — worst hard-hit in the league.
Sellconf 0.69 - 30Sellconf 0.68
- 31
xERA 4.52 — no hidden value from surface ERA.
Sellconf 0.68 - 32
Hard-hit rate 22.9% — worst in the lineup.
Sellconf 0.67 - 33
Hard-hit rate 26% — worst in the majors.
Sellconf 0.66 - 34
Walks 9.8% and xERA can't escape 4.46.
Sellconf 0.66 - 35
xERA 4.46, and the 5.72 ERA masks real decline.
Sellconf 0.66 - 36Sellconf 0.66
- 37
xwOBA .260 with 86.6 mph exit velo — poor contact.
Sellconf 0.66 - 38
15% K rate can't save .266 xwOBA.
Sellconf 0.65 - 39
xERA 4.4 with league-worst 0.331 BABIP.
Sellconf 0.64 - 40
xwOBA .270 with 87.4 exit velo — contact is dead.
Sellconf 0.64 - 41
87.8 mph exit velo and 1.5% barrels — no power.
Sellconf 0.64 - 42
Barrel rate 3.3% — dead last in the league.
Sellconf 0.64 - 43
Zero barrels in 2024 — contact has no impact.
Sellconf 0.64 - 44
xwOBA .273 — wOBA runs .055 above skill.
Sellconf 0.63 - 45
xwOBA .277 with 28.5% K rate — no luck to blame.
Sellconf 0.63 - 46
85.7 mph EV with 2.9% barrels; extreme luck gap.
Sellconf 0.62 - 47
84 mph exit velo, 3% barrels — no power to survive.
Sellconf 0.62 - 48
41% K rate sinks elite hard-hit numbers.
Sellconf 0.62 - 49
28th percentile exit velo and barrels near zero.
Sellconf 0.62 - 50
3.4% barrel rate—no power whatsoever.
Sellconf 0.62 - 51
31% K and 6.8% barrels — whiff without damage.
Sellconf 0.61 - 52
xwOBA .287; 27.5% K rate sinks the profile.
Sellconf 0.61 - 53
83 mph exit velocity — worst in the league.
Sellconf 0.61 - 54
K rate 32% sinks an xwOBA that's already .285.
Sellconf 0.61 - 55
xwOBA .292 with 4.3% barrels, 88.6 mph exit.
Sellconf 0.60 - 56
xwOBA .289 with 28% K rate — contact masks decline.
Sellconf 0.60 - 57
31% K rate and the bat can't save it.
Sellconf 0.60 - 58
Bellows the gap; xwOBA .289 on 89.9 mph exit velo.
Sellconf 0.60 - 59
28% K rate, 87 mph EV — power won't carry.
Sellconf 0.60 - 60
30% K rate overshadows elite 91.6 mph exit velo.
Sellconf 0.59 - 61
86.7 mph exit velo, bottom 10% contact.
Sellconf 0.59 - 62Sellconf 0.59
- 63
Barrels at 4.5% — nearly half league average.
Sellconf 0.59 - 64
87 mph exit velo, 3.9% barrel — minimal impact.
Sellconf 0.59 - 65
Strikeout rate 20% is better than league, but xwOBA .295 sinks value.
Sellconf 0.59 - 66
82.2 exit velo, 8.7% hard hit — can't survive.
Sellconf 0.59 - 67
Average exit velo 88.7, xwOBA .295 — no power.
Sellconf 0.59 - 68Sellconf 0.58
- 69
xwOBA .299 with 87 mph exit velo — no power.
Sellconf 0.58 - 70
xwOBA .299 — worst outcome already priced in.
Sellconf 0.58 - 71
xwOBA .300 with no power; K rate is the only bright spot.
Sellconf 0.58 - 72
27.5% K rate sinks a league-average batted ball profile.
Sellconf 0.58