Buys — league-wide
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy81
- 1
xERA 2.28; 29.4% K and 4.7% BB are elite.
Buyconf 0.92 - 2
27% K rate, 5.7% BB rate, xERA 2.76 — ace skill.
Buyconf 0.92 - 3
xERA 2.91, ERA 4.63 — 1.72 runs of bad luck.
Buyconf 0.92 - 4
xwOBA .493, 94.7 exit velo—elite everywhere.
Buyconf 0.92 - 5
29.6% K, 6.8% BB — ace-level command with a 3.09 xERA.
Buyconf 0.90 - 6
27% strikeouts with a 3.23 xERA — legit ground.
Buyconf 0.86 - 7
xwOBA .438 with 25.5% barrels despite 29% K rate.
Buyconf 0.85 - 8
xERA 3.3 backed by elite 5.1% walk rate.
Buyconf 0.84 - 9
2.9% walk rate, 25.8 K% — the control is elite.
Buyconf 0.83 - 10
27.9% K rate, xERA 3.35 — skills hiding behind 4.21 ERA.
Buyconf 0.82 - 11
xwOBA .422 — elite barrel rate of 21% backs it up.
Buyconf 0.81 - 12Buyconf 0.81
- 13
xwOBA .415, 57% hard-hit — elite power.
Buyconf 0.80 - 14
Walk rate 4.3% — elite control outstrips ERA.
Buyconf 0.79 - 15
93.5 mph exit velo and 52% hard-hit — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.79 - 16
xwOBA .400 with 14.8% barrels — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.77 - 17
xwOBA .399; 14% barrel rate is elite.
Buyconf 0.77 - 18
xwOBA .398 driven by 54% hard-hit and elite K rate.
Buyconf 0.77 - 19
46.5 hard-hit%, 15.3 barrel% – elite contact.
Buyconf 0.76 - 20Buyconf 0.76
- 21
58% hard-hit, 18% barrel — elite exit quality.
Buyconf 0.75 - 22
92 mph exit velo with 14.8% barrels and a 19.5% K rate.
Buyconf 0.75 - 23
Barrel% 20.2 with hard-hit contact, but 32% K rate limits.
Buyconf 0.75 - 24
53.9% hard-hit with 93.3 mph EV, and it's translating.
Buyconf 0.75 - 25
xERA 3.6 with a 24% K rate: solid command-driven arm.
Buyconf 0.75 - 26
xwOBA .387, hard-hit 47.7% — plus contact.
Buyconf 0.74 - 27
xwOBA .386, hard hit 51% — skill better than surface.
Buyconf 0.74 - 28
xERA 3.63 backs surface; walks 6.7%.
Buyconf 0.74 - 29
48% hard-hit, 92.7 mph exit velo — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.73 - 30
34% K rate but 23% barrels — extreme trade-off pays.
Buyconf 0.73 - 31
51% hard-hit, 15% barrels — elite impact intact.
Buyconf 0.73 - 32
xwOBA .378, strikes out just 13% — skills look legit.
Buyconf 0.73 - 33
.382 xwOBA, 48% hard-hit — real power growth.
Buyconf 0.73 - 34
xERA 3.68, K% near league, but walks suppress ceiling.
Buyconf 0.73 - 35
xwOBA .373 with 14% barrels — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.72 - 36
xwOBA .375 with elite 12.7% K rate.
Buyconf 0.72 - 37
xERA 3.7 with a 25.9% K rate and 5.9% walk rate.
Buyconf 0.72 - 38
xwOBA .373, 46% hard-hit — elite production.
Buyconf 0.72 - 39
xwOBA .376 with 45.9% hard-hit, 16.9% K rate.
Buyconf 0.72 - 40
Hard-hit rate 43.9% with xwOBA .370 — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.71 - 41
xwOBA .372 on 47% hard-hit — unlucky wOBA.
Buyconf 0.71 - 42
94.4 mph EV, 14.6% barrels — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.71 - 43
Hard-hit 46%, K-rate 15% — underpriced star.
Buyconf 0.71 - 44
14.4 barrels while striking out just 19.5%.
Buyconf 0.71 - 45
xwOBA .371 with 13% barrel rate — buy the skill.
Buyconf 0.71 - 46Buyconf 0.71
- 47
xwOBA .366 with elite strikeout control.
Buyconf 0.70 - 48
49.7% hard-hit and .366 xwOBA — elite contact returning.
Buyconf 0.70 - 49
xwOBA .364, 51% hard-hit — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.70 - 50
13.5% K rate and xwOBA 50 points above league.
Buyconf 0.70 - 51
Hard-hit 44.6%, 90.3 exit velo — real contact.
Buyconf 0.69 - 52
48.6% hard-hit with league-low 17.2% whiff.
Buyconf 0.69 - 53Buyconf 0.69
- 54
10.2% K-rate, 43.5% hard-hit — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.69 - 55
Hard-hit rate 47.5% and K% just 18.3 — skills back it.
Buyconf 0.69 - 56
15% barrel rate at a 45% hard-hit — elite pop.
Buyconf 0.68 - 57
48% hard-hit, 12% barrels — elite pop behind the dish.
Buyconf 0.68 - 58
xwOBA .348, 20 points above league despite hard-hit rate.
Buyconf 0.67 - 59
52.7% hard-hit, .352 xwOBA — bat is real.
Buyconf 0.67 - 60
xwOBA .351 with hard-hit rate and barrels well above league.
Buyconf 0.67 - 61
xwOBA .352 off .344 wOBA; unlucky gap.
Buyconf 0.67 - 62
10.8% K rate with xwOBA .350 — elite bat-to-ball.
Buyconf 0.67 - 63
xwOBA .347 with elite 51% hard-hit rate.
Buyconf 0.66 - 64
96.1 mph exit velo with 60% hard-hit rate.
Buyconf 0.66 - 65
xwOBA .344 on 46% hard hits — real.
Buyconf 0.66 - 66
xwOBA .343 with elite hard-hit rate and no luck gap.
Buyconf 0.66 - 67Buyconf 0.66
- 68
Hard-hit rate 50% and xwOBA 30 points above league.
Buyconf 0.66 - 69Buyconf 0.66
- 70
xwOBA .340, elite hard-hit rate — no fluke.
Buyconf 0.65 - 71
xwOBA .342 vs wOBA .318 — 24 points in the bank.
Buyconf 0.65 - 72
12.7% K-rate and elite hard-hit. Still room.
Buyconf 0.65 - 73
58% hard-hit but 30% Ks — power is real, swing is risky.
Buyconf 0.65 - 74
45% hard-hit rate, xwOBA .338, held back by .037 gap.
Buyconf 0.65 - 75
Hard-hit 46%; xwOBA 22 points above league.
Buyconf 0.64 - 76
xwOBA matches actual; hard-hit and barrel rates both above average.
Buyconf 0.64 - 77
44% hard-hit rate with a 16% K-rate; contact plays.
Buyconf 0.64 - 78
Elite 13.2% barrel rate and hard-hit skills remain.
Buyconf 0.64 - 79
43.6% hard-hit, 11.5% barrel — power is for real.
Buyconf 0.63 - 80
xwOBA .331 but only 35% hard hit; be patient.
Buyconf 0.63 - 81
xwOBA .330 off .300 wOBA, 6.5% barrels belie the gap.
Buyconf 0.63
Buy-Low45
- 1
0.45 BABIP against — that crater is noise, not talent.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2
2.32-run gap between ERA and xERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 3
xERA 2.01 vs ERA 4.09 — 31.6% Ks + .377 BABIP.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 4
27.8% K rate with a .357 BABIP; buy the rebound.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 5
36.6% K-rate with .516 BABIP — buy the noise.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 6
BABIP .337 masks a 4.71 xERA — buy the rebound.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 7
BABIP .036, xERA 3.16 — buy the gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 8
BABIP .464 hides a 3.45 xERA; buy the bounce.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 9
BABIP .451; xERA 3.73 — regression candidate.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 10Buy Lowconf 0.90
- 11
ERA 2.22 runs above xERA — biggest gap in sample.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 12
xERA 4.77, ERA 6.9 — 2+ run gap deserves buy.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 13
37% BABIP against fuels 2-run ERA-xERA gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 14Buy Lowconf 0.90
- 15
xERA 4.11 vs ERA 5.4 — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 16
BABIP .343 cratering a 4.08 xERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 17
xERA 3.28 vs ERA 4.22 — 26.6% K rate backs it.
Buy Lowconf 0.88 - 18
xERA 4.62, BABIP .361 — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.85 - 19
BABIP .347 inflates ERA; xERA 3.33 tells truth.
Buy Lowconf 0.85 - 20
BABIP .332 inflates ERA; xERA 4.62 tells truer story.
Buy Lowconf 0.79 - 21
xwOBA .348, wOBA .264 – 84-point gap screams buy.
Buy Lowconf 0.77 - 22
BABIP .175 — 0.120 below league, unluckiest catcher.
Buy Lowconf 0.77 - 23
BABIP .236 with 45% hard-hit; xwOBA .355.
Buy Lowconf 0.75 - 24
60-point xwOBA gap hides elite contact and K rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.74 - 25
xwOBA 60 points above wOBA, 14% barrels wasted.
Buy Lowconf 0.73 - 26
Sub-.240 BABIP hiding a 46% hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.72 - 27
.335 BABIP with a 14.7% K-rate – batted-ball luck.
Buy Lowconf 0.72 - 28
xwOBA .382, BABIP .275 — 54-point underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.71 - 29
.288 xwOBA with just a .237 wOBA; BABIP unluck.
Buy Lowconf 0.70 - 30
BABIP 80 points below league; exit velo and barrels back it.
Buy Lowconf 0.70 - 31
wOBA .241 vs xwOBA .285 — all BABIP, no quality.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 32
xwOBA .308, wOBA .261 – 47-point gap screams buying opp.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 33
BABIP .220 despite 46% hard-hit — expect regression.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 34Buy Lowconf 0.69
- 35
BABIP .234 despite 90.3 avg exit velo — buying the gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 36
Hard-hit rate 49.7%, xwOBA .406 — due for regression.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 37
BABIP .176, but 44% hard-hit and xwOBA 40 points higher.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 38
xwOBA 40 points above actual, with elite hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 39
xwOBA .378, .340 wOBA — 38-point underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 40
BABIP .169 vs xwOBA .332 — massive luck correction due.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 41
xwOBA 42 points above wOBA — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 42
BABIP 40 points under league; hard-hit rate top-20.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 43
Barrel rate 14% vs .272 BABIP — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 44
95 mph EVs and 12% barrels; BABIP-driven underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 45
xwOBA .032 above wOBA — unlucky, but 30% Ks linger.
Buy Lowconf 0.66