Buys — league-wide
Grouped Buy → Sell · ranked by confidence within each group
Buy120
- 1
2.71 xERA, 29.5 K% — elite skills already.
Buyconf 0.92 - 2
xERA 2.27 with 30% K and 4% walk elite.
Buyconf 0.92 - 3
xERA 2.49 with 99 mph heat and 28% K rate.
Buyconf 0.92 - 4
36.9% K rate and a 2.84 xERA — elite all around.
Buyconf 0.92 - 5
96 mph heater + 3.00 xERA — aces brewing.
Buyconf 0.92 - 6
94.7 exit velo; barrels 19% — elite force.
Buyconf 0.92 - 7
xERA 3.07, walks 5.9% — legit command growth.
Buyconf 0.91 - 8
30% K, 3.7% BB — elite control and whiffs.
Buyconf 0.88 - 9Buyconf 0.87
- 10
xERA 3.19 with 27% K-BB, unlucky .334 BABIP.
Buyconf 0.87 - 11
xERA 3.19 but ERA 3.58; BABIP .238 regresses.
Buyconf 0.87 - 12
xERA 3.21 despite 4.18 ERA; 28.8% K rate.
Buyconf 0.87 - 13
97 mph heat plus xERA 3.28 points to real breakout.
Buyconf 0.85 - 14
96 mph velo and 4% walks — elite control.
Buyconf 0.85 - 15
3.31 xERA shields a 12.5% walk rate.
Buyconf 0.84 - 16
60% hard-hit rate, .437 xwOBA — elite power profile.
Buyconf 0.84 - 17Buyconf 0.83
- 18
xERA 3.36, striking out 25% with walk issues.
Buyconf 0.82 - 19
3.36 xERA on a 22.9% K rate with 6.8% walks.
Buyconf 0.82 - 20
xERA 3.38 hides behind 4.39 ERA — buy the gap.
Buyconf 0.82 - 21
xERA 3.38 with no BABIP luck — skills real.
Buyconf 0.82 - 22
xERA 3.43, K rate 30.4% – vintage deGrom is back.
Buyconf 0.80 - 23
96 mph velo and 29% K rate fuel elite skills.
Buyconf 0.80 - 24
xwOBA .416, 52.4% hard-hit — elite production.
Buyconf 0.80 - 25
xERA 3.48 despite 4.59 ERA — 1.11-run gap screams regression.
Buyconf 0.79 - 26
xERA 3.48 points to 0.56 run of bad luck.
Buyconf 0.79 - 27
xERA 3.48, fastball 97.3 — legit improvement.
Buyconf 0.79 - 28
3.48 xERA with a 27.9% K rate — legit stuff.
Buyconf 0.79 - 29Buyconf 0.78
- 30
BABIP .234 is unsustainably low, but xERA 3.53 holds.
Buyconf 0.77 - 31
xwOBA .391 with elite hard-hit and barrel rates.
Buyconf 0.75 - 32
26.4% K with 3.61 xERA; league-average walks.
Buyconf 0.75 - 33
xwOBA .390 with 14.2% barrels and .337 BABIP — buying.
Buyconf 0.75 - 34
xwOBA .389, exit velo 93.2, and only 17% K.
Buyconf 0.75 - 35
xwOBA .383 with a 48.7% hard-hit rate.
Buyconf 0.74 - 36
xwOBA .383 with elite 45% hard-hit rate.
Buyconf 0.74 - 37
xwOBA 0.379, exit velo 92.6 — legit pop.
Buyconf 0.73 - 38
51% hard-hit, 15% barrel — elite contact quality.
Buyconf 0.73 - 39Buyconf 0.73
- 40
51.5% hard-hit, .374 xwOBA — elite exit velo.
Buyconf 0.72 - 41
54% hard-hit rate — top-tier exit velo.
Buyconf 0.72 - 42
53% hard-hit, 19% barrel — elite pop, ignore the Ks.
Buyconf 0.72 - 43
54.8% hard-hit and .376 xwOBA show elite contact.
Buyconf 0.72 - 44
Strikes out 17%, a rarity for a catcher.
Buyconf 0.72 - 45
xwOBA .376 — elite barrel and hard-hit rates.
Buyconf 0.72 - 46
92.8 mph EV, 15.3% barrels, and a .372 xwOBA.
Buyconf 0.71 - 47
xwOBA .369 with 47% hard-hit; a legit bat.
Buyconf 0.71 - 48
xERA 3.74 with 95 mph velo — skill before volume.
Buyconf 0.71 - 49
91.1 mph exit velo with a .372 xwOBA — legit power.
Buyconf 0.71 - 50
51.8% hard-hit with a 13.6% barrel rate.
Buyconf 0.71 - 51
Contact skills elite: 13.7% K, .368 xwOBA.
Buyconf 0.71 - 52
33.6% K rate, but .387 wOBA on .370 xwOBA.
Buyconf 0.71 - 53
xERA 3.74 despite 18.4% K rate; elite velo.
Buyconf 0.71 - 54
Expected stats suggest a 0.43 ERA regression gain.
Buyconf 0.71 - 55Buyconf 0.71
- 56
Hard-hit rate 51%, barrels 12.9% — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.70 - 57
50% hard-hit, 92 mph exit velo — elite barrel rate.
Buyconf 0.70 - 58
53% hard-hit rate and 14% barrels — elite pop.
Buyconf 0.70 - 59
15.6% K rate fuels .365 xwOBA; skill, not luck.
Buyconf 0.70 - 60
49.8% hard-hit, 13.8% barrel — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.70 - 61
xwOBA .365 mirrors wOBA; no luck needed.
Buyconf 0.70 - 62
Hard-hit rate 45%, barrel 12% — plus contact.
Buyconf 0.69 - 63
xwOBA .360 backed by 44.7% hard-hit, .14.7% barrel rate.
Buyconf 0.69 - 64
xERA 3.79, ERA 4.12 — 0.33 run gap worth buying.
Buyconf 0.69 - 65
52% hard hit, 14% barrel — elite pop backed by xwOBA .358.
Buyconf 0.69 - 66
xERA 3.79 with 11% walks — buy the whiff.
Buyconf 0.69 - 67
51.9% hard-hit rate with .359 xwOBA — the power is real.
Buyconf 0.69 - 68
xERA 3.79, walks 5.4% — K rate the only hole.
Buyconf 0.69 - 69Buyconf 0.69
- 70
Hard-hit rate 46.9%, K rate 15% — legit gains.
Buyconf 0.69 - 71
xERA 3.79 but ERA 4.66 — due for correction.
Buyconf 0.69 - 72
xwOBA .354, barrel rate 8.1%, and strong contact quality.
Buyconf 0.68 - 73
Hard-hit% 47%, xwOBA .356 – skill well above league.
Buyconf 0.68 - 74
51% hard-hit & .357 xwOBA; the 33% K rate is the only friction.
Buyconf 0.68 - 75
Barrel% 14.3 with 41% hard-hit; elite contact.
Buyconf 0.68 - 76
Barrel 14.7% with 56% hard-hit — elite pop.
Buyconf 0.68 - 77
51% hard-hit rate, 92.5 mph exit velo — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.67 - 78
15.7% strikeout rate fuels a .351 xwOBA.
Buyconf 0.67 - 79
91.9 exit velo, 48.9 hard-hit — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.67 - 80Buyconf 0.67
- 81
Hard-hit rate 44.4%, xwOBA .348 — real skill.
Buyconf 0.67 - 82
xwOBA .348 and strikeouts only 14% — bat is real.
Buyconf 0.67 - 83
xwOBA .348 with league-average Ks, but barrels lag at 5.6%
Buyconf 0.67 - 84
Career-low K% spike, but .352 xwOBA says keep buying.
Buyconf 0.67 - 85
xwOBA .348, 41.2% hard-hit — contact skills play.
Buyconf 0.67 - 86
16% barrels offset 32% K rate, xwOBA .343.
Buyconf 0.66 - 87
16% K rate with .345 xwOBA; elite bat-to-ball.
Buyconf 0.66 - 88
Hard-hit% 44.8 with elite strikeout control.
Buyconf 0.66 - 89
52.6% hard-hit — xwOBA .343, 28 points above
Buyconf 0.66 - 90
xwOBA .343 with elite 44% hard-hit, suppressed by .031 bad luck.
Buyconf 0.66 - 91
xwOBA .343, 46% hard-hit — elite contact profile.
Buyconf 0.66 - 92
xwOBA .345 with a 10.1% barrel rate supports it.
Buyconf 0.66 - 93
Barrel% 11.8 — elite power without the whiff.
Buyconf 0.66 - 94
xwOBA .345 matches surface; elite 13.5% K rate.
Buyconf 0.66 - 95
89 mph exit velo with 44% hard-hit — power is real.
Buyconf 0.66 - 96
13% K-rate with .340 xwOBA; contact is plus.
Buyconf 0.65 - 97
xwOBA .338 with an 18.9% strikeout rate.
Buyconf 0.65 - 98
91.5 mph EV, 13% barrels — elite contact skills.
Buyconf 0.65 - 99
90.1 mph EV with 12.3% barrel rate, matching xwOBA.
Buyconf 0.65 - 100
xwOBA 0.341 but .296 wOBA — due for correction.
Buyconf 0.65 - 101
44% hard-hit rate drives xwOBA 26 points above league.
Buyconf 0.65 - 102
43% hard-hit and 11.6% barrels — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.65 - 103Buyconf 0.65
- 104
43% hard-hit rate, xwOBA .338 — skill driving BABIP.
Buyconf 0.65 - 105
Hard-hit rate 45% with a .333 xwOBA that backs it.
Buyconf 0.64 - 106
Barrel% 12.6 and xwOBA matches — legit pop.
Buyconf 0.64 - 107
92.2 mph exit velo with 13.5% barrels — elite contact.
Buyconf 0.64 - 108
Strikeout rate 13.5% is elite, xwOBA backs it.
Buyconf 0.64 - 109
Elite 14.2% K rate, xwOBA .334—undervalued.
Buyconf 0.64 - 110
92.4 mph exit velo with a .335 xwOBA is real.
Buyconf 0.64 - 111
16.4% barrel rate but 32% K — power upside play.
Buyconf 0.64 - 112
16% barrel rate, 44% hard-hit — elite pop.
Buyconf 0.64 - 113
xwOBA 0.331 with hard-hit rate above league average.
Buyconf 0.63 - 114
47.5% hard-hit rate with 14.8% barrels — power is real.
Buyconf 0.63 - 115Buyconf 0.63
- 116
xwOBA 0.33, Hard-Hit 49% — contact plays.
Buyconf 0.63 - 117
54% hard-hit rate, but 32% Ks cap the ceiling.
Buyconf 0.63 - 118
.027 xwOBA-wOBA gap signals buy-low window.
Buyconf 0.63 - 119
16.9% K rate and batted ball skills justify BABIP.
Buyconf 0.63 - 120
11% K-rate but xwOBA .331, 23 points above wOBA.
Buyconf 0.63
Buy-Low40
- 1
xERA 4.22, but ERA 6.87 on .329 BABIP.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 2
3.88 xERA but 7.52 ERA — .427 BABIP-against explains it.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 3
xERA 3.61 vs ERA 4.74 — 1.13 runs of bad luck.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 4
xERA 4.19 trumps 5.31 ERA — 1.12-run gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 5
3.07 xERA, 1.50 ERA gap — BABIP .402 won't hold.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 6
4.54 ERA but 3.05 xERA; 0.357 BABIP inflates it.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 7
ERA 5.68 but xERA 4.16 — 1.5 runs of bad luck.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 8
BABIP .444 inflates ERA 6.82; xERA 3.71.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 9
xERA 3.61 but ERA 5.25 — 1.64-run gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 10
xERA 3.38 vs 4.76 ERA, .362 BABIP driving the gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 11
xERA 3.14 but .431 BABIP; 31% Ks resurface.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 12
xERA 4.19 despite 5.74 ERA, .339 BABIP-against.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 13
BABIP .386 — unlucky, still striking out 30%.
Buy Lowconf 0.90 - 14
34.8% K rate, 98 mph heat — skill gap in BABIP.
Buy Lowconf 0.88 - 15
3.74 xERA, 96.9 velo — buy the BABIP bounce.
Buy Lowconf 0.84 - 16
97-mph heat but 16.4 K% — velo still there.
Buy Lowconf 0.84 - 17
xwOBA .310 vs actual .193 — massive underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.83 - 18
xERA 3.56, but .372 BABIP inflating ERA by 0.73.
Buy Lowconf 0.82 - 19
xERA 2.96 despite .331 BABIP — buy the velo jump.
Buy Lowconf 0.77 - 20
3.28 xERA with 99 mph heat; .338 BABIP normalizes.
Buy Lowconf 0.77 - 21
xwOBA 84 points above wOBA, 43% hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.77 - 22
xERA 4.1 but 0.331 BABIP against inflates ERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.76 - 23
34.5% K, 99.3 velo; ERA inflated by .325 BABIP.
Buy Lowconf 0.74 - 24
BABIP 70 points below league; xwOBA says .340 hitter.
Buy Lowconf 0.74 - 25
3.12 xERA with 30.6% K rate; .343 BABIP inflates ERA.
Buy Lowconf 0.73 - 26
2.93 xERA, 96.8 mph heat — BABIP correction coming.
Buy Lowconf 0.72 - 27
.188 BABIP masks top-10% hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.71 - 28
xwOBA 45 points above wOBA — babip-driven underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 29Buy Lowconf 0.69
- 30
BABIP .242 suppresses a .318 xwOBA with 42.5% hard hits.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 31
.047 xwOBA-wOBA gap despite elite 49% hard-hit.
Buy Lowconf 0.69 - 32
BABIP .238 is suppressing a league-average exit velo.
Buy Lowconf 0.68 - 33
xwOBA .313 vs .279 wOBA — 34-point gap.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 34
Contact elite (14.5% K), but .254 BABIP hides real skill.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 35
Underperforming xwOBA by 36 points despite hard-hit rate.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 36
.243 BABIP hides elite 47% hard-hit, 15.4% barrel.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 37
xwOBA .409 but wOBA .374 — 35-point underperformance.
Buy Lowconf 0.67 - 38
xwOBA .306 vs .276 wOBA — .030 points of bad luck.
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 39
xwOBA 0.364 outpaces wOBA 0.332 — due for correction.
Buy Lowconf 0.66 - 40
31.6% K rate overshadows 91.4 mph EV.
Buy Lowconf 0.66