Sells — league-wide

15.8% strikeout rate can't hold a 3.18 ERA.

1.66 ERA masks 3.24 xERA; .233 BABIP won't hold

13.4% strikeout rate can't hold a 1.81 ERA forever

11.6% strikeout rate can't support a 3.06 ERA

ERA 2.42 hides a 3.84 xERA — sell before it corrects

2.55 ERA masks a 4.32 xERA and 18% K rate

0.208 BABIP against is carrying a 2.79 ERA

3.25 ERA, 4.75 xERA — 1.5-run BABIP mirage

3.46 ERA hides 4.72 xERA and .257 BABIP luck

3.24 ERA hides 4.11 xERA and .265 BABIP luck

2.74 ERA hides 4.06 xERA and 17% strikeout rate

13.1% strikeout rate; 4.03 ERA hides the 5.39 xERA

BABIP-against .232 vs .295 league — ERA inflated by luck

2.52 ERA hides a 3.86 xERA and .235 BABIP

2.70 ERA hides a 4.50 xERA and .207 BABIP luck

2.89 ERA hides a .242 BABIP-against mirage

1.72 ERA hides a 3.54 xERA and .225 BABIP luck.

3.42 ERA hides 4.35 xERA and 11.2% walk rate

0.206 BABIP masks a 14% walk rate

3.04 ERA hides 4.2 xERA and 14.8% strikeout rate

2.31 ERA but xERA sits 1.36 runs higher

3.39 ERA hides a 4.78 xERA and 12% walks

0.226 BABIP against flatters a 3.65 xERA.

7.33 xERA screams sell-high despite .250 BABIP

BABIP .227 masks an ERA 0.8 runs better than xERA

3.00 ERA hides 4.35 xERA; .253 BABIP won't hold.

2.02 ERA flatters a 2.9 xERA; BABIP .257 won't last

2.46 ERA hides 4.2 xERA and 15.9% strikeout rate

3.50 ERA hides a 5.18 xERA and 12.4% walk rate.

3.51 ERA hides 4.59 xERA and 18.9% strikeout rate.

0.203 BABIP-against carries a 1.61 ERA over a 3.08 xERA

0.227 BABIP against propping up a 1.33 ERA

2.83 ERA vs 4.06 xERA, and a .249 BABIP propping it up

3.58 ERA propped by .238 BABIP and 16.5% K rate.

15.3% strikeout rate propping up a 5.08 xERA arm.

ERA 2.50 flatters xERA 3.62; walks at 13.3% erode it

3.26 ERA hides 4.26 xERA, a full-run gift

2.79 ERA hides 3.81 xERA, .261 BABIP won't hold

2.42 ERA hides 3.67 xERA and a .236 BABIP.

3.15 ERA hides 3.95 xERA — BABIP flattering him .261

14% strikeout rate can't survive .235 BABIP regression

3.84 ERA hides 4.72 xERA; .266 BABIP won't hold

BABIP-against .178 hides a 15.6% walk rate

3.20 ERA hides 3.89 xERA and 13.3% walk rate

BABIP-against .248 hides a 3.67 xERA and 11.8% walks.

.177 BABIP props up a 1.85 ERA; xERA says 2.51

0.246 BABIP masks a 3.39 xERA and 11.8% walk rate

BABIP .197 is 100 points of pure luck

16.3 K% can't hold a 4.00 ERA; xERA says 4.63

0.181 BABIP against won't hold; ERA 0.89 vs xERA 1.77

32.4% K rate, 0.259 xwOBA — but the ERA gap says sell

0.255 BABIP against is 40 points of pure luck.

.206 BABIP against — 89 points of pure defense luck

16.3% walk rate undermines that 29% strikeout stuff.

xERA 3.62 sits 0.56 runs above his shiny 3.06 ERA

19% K rate can't hold a 2.43 ERA forever

3.51 ERA hides a 16.8% K rate and .240 BABIP

0.221 BABIP against flatters a 2.44 ERA over 2.94 xERA

2.53 ERA hides a 3.03 xERA; bat-missing real, luck isn't

0.7% barrels and 84 mph exit velo can't hold .326 BABIP

.465 BABIP hiding a .223 xwOBA and 33% K rate.

.241 BABIP-against is 54 points of pure luck

0.26 BABIP props up 2.83 ERA over 3.49 xERA.

0.26 BABIP propping up a 4.00 xERA arm

35% strikeouts, but a .269 BABIP won't hold.

BABIP-against .232 vs .295 norm; K% 29.5 masks it.

0.224 BABIP-against, 0.36-run gap: regression is coming

.185 BABIP against fuels a 2.00 ERA mirage

32% strikeouts and 85 mph contact won't hold a .340 wOBA

0.261 BABIP props up 1.88 ERA over 2.45 xERA

2.2% barrels: contact skills, zero thump

11% strikeout rate hides a .285 xwOBA bat

BABIP .358 masks a 5.4% barrel rate.

BABIP .330 vs xwOBA .334 — selling the surface gap.

16% strikeouts, 15.4% walks — xERA 6.46 confirms it

84 mph exit velo, 28% hard-hit — contact can't hold .375 wOBA

wOBA .355 but xwOBA .319 and 34% hard-hit

.335 BABIP propping up a .292 xwOBA bat

37.7% strikeout rate undercuts 20.3% barrel power

Barrel rate 11.7% but BABIP fuels a .365 wOBA

BABIP .350 inflates a .343 xwOBA; 87.9 mph bat won't hold it.

xwOBA .289 under a .321 wOBA; the gap is the sell

28.7% hard-hit with a .353 wOBA that outruns the contact

wOBA .382 outpacing xwOBA by 33 points — sell the surface

BABIP .343 masks 28.3% strikeouts and .235 xwOBA.

82.4 mph exit velo and 1.4% barrels — empty average.

28.4 K% and a .064 wOBA-xwOBA luck gap

0.135 BABIP with a 15.9% strikeout rate won't hold.

.230 BABIP-against masks a 4.06 xERA and middling whiffs.

17.9% barrels mask a .361 BABIP that won't hold.

.351 wOBA propped by .360 BABIP; 26% hard-hit says it's hollow

BABIP .424 but 17% hard-hit and zero barrels.

BABIP .372 propping up a .293 xwOBA bat

Hard-Hit 24.8% — Barrosa's contact can't support the surface line.

xwOBA .252 with 28% hard-hit — contact is a mirage.

BABIP .456 masks 83.8 mph exit velo and 29.5% Ks

BABIP .351 masks 3.9% barrels and 34% hard-hit.

Hard-Hit 19.5% with a .329 BABIP propping him up.

5.29 xERA and 12.6% walks — nothing fluky here.

14.6% strikeout rate, 6.02 xERA — hitters feast

17% K rate inflates ERA; xERA 5.29 confirms it's real

ERA 4.11 hides a 5.39 xERA; walks fuel it

3.92 ERA hides a 5.36 xERA and 16.7% K rate

xERA 6.71 with a 15.4% strikeout rate — collapse.

3.98 ERA hides a 5.57 xERA and 15% K rate

13.9% strikeout rate with a 6.59 xERA — nothing fluky.

xERA 5.32 with a 17% strikeout rate — hittable.

5.25 xERA behind a .398 BABIP mask

xERA 5.54 hiding behind a 4.50 ERA — 17% K rate.

xERA 6.42 — 18.5% K rate can't hide it

xERA 6.8 with a 14% strikeout rate. Ugly.

3.86 ERA hides a 5.32 xERA and 17.9% strikeouts.

5.32 xERA says the 5.52 ERA is honest, not unlucky.

18.2% K rate can't cover a 5.22 xERA.

xERA 5.22 and just 16.9% strikeouts; nothing hidden here.

14.9% strikeout rate can't hide a 5.22 xERA.

17% strikeout rate can't hide a 5.18 xERA

xERA 5.15 says the surface 4.96 is flattering him

xERA 5.15, K rate 17.2%: hittable and getting hit.

17.4% strikeout rate and a 5.08 xERA to match

14.4% walk rate sinks an above-average strikeout arm.

15.7% strikeout rate can't support a 5.05 xERA.

4.03 ERA flatters a 5.05 xERA

xERA 5.01 vs 3.90 ERA — 18% K rate can't hold it

Walks 11.6% drive 5.01 xERA — the real damage

4.23 ERA hides 4.95 xERA and a 19.7% K rate.

xERA 4.95 hidden by a .292 BABIP, 18% K rate

4.98 xERA and 19.5% K rate won't play.

xERA 4.95 outpacing a flashy 4.79 ERA

xERA 4.91 and a 19.2% K rate — fading arm.

11.6% walk rate sinks a 4.91 xERA arm

3.50 ERA hides a 4.85 xERA; regression due

3.41 ERA hiding 4.85 xERA, .328 BABIP luck

18% strikeout rate, 4.88 xERA — the profile is thin.

18.2% strikeout rate; 4.85 xERA can't survive that

15% walks with a .241 BABIP propping up the ERA

Six-run ERA with strikeouts down to 18%, skill is slipping

27.9% K rate undercut by 14.9% walks, xERA 4.78

2.54 ERA hides a 4.78 xERA and 16% strikeouts.

5.36 ERA over 4.69 xERA — walks pad the damage.

3.90 ERA hides 4.69 xERA and .333 BABIP luck

Sub-20% K rate, 4.69 xERA says the 4.23 is flattered

xERA 4.66 with a .316 BABIP masking nothing good

ERA 4.03 hides 4.66 xERA and a 19% strikeout rate.

3.53 ERA masks 4.66 xERA and 19% strikeout rate

32.6% strikeouts and a .234 xwOBA — no contact floor.

3.64 ERA hides a 4.63 xERA — nearly a run of luck.

xERA 4.63 outruns the 4.13 ERA by half a run.

ERA 5.65 with a 4.59 xERA — regression won't save him

xERA 4.59 with no luck gap — the profile is the problem.

81.5 mph exit velo, 12% hard-hit — catcher contact is hollow.

22.9% hard-hit at catcher — zero power ceiling.

84.3 mph exit velo with 28.7% hard-hit — punchless profile.

19.9% strikeout rate can't miss bats at this level

3.82 ERA hides a 4.56 xERA — regression due.

Strikes out 32% with a .246 xwOBA — empty power.

17.3 K% can't hide a 6.13 ERA much longer.

17% strikeout rate can't support this ERA.

4.16 ERA hides 4.53 xERA and .313 BABIP help

5.71 ERA masks a 4.53 xERA — pay for the skills, not the noise.

28.8% hard-hit, 2.8% barrels — zero thump in this bat

xwOBA .255 with a 28% strikeout rate — no contact floor.

xwOBA .255 with a 29% strikeout rate — no contact floor

xwOBA .258 with a 27.8% whiff rate — no luck hiding it

Zero barrels, 21% hard-hit — no power path at all.

xERA 4.47 with 11.2% walks — collapse risk from free passes

83.7 mph exit velo, zero barrels — contact can't carry .306 wOBA

2.2% barrels at 85 mph — no thump left

2.9% barrel rate — zero thump for a .260 xwOBA

3.48 ERA hides a 4.44 xERA — nearly a full run

Barrel rate 3.2% — no power to justify the profile.

2% barrels with 84 mph exit velo — empty average.

xwOBA .263 with 86.4 mph exit velo; no luck gap to blame

85.6 mph exit velo; .042 wOBA luck gap

32% hard-hit, 4.3% barrels — contact can't carry .267 xwOBA.

17.3% strikeout rate is 5 points under league

21.7% hard-hit, 0.9% barrel — no power base at all.

3.7% barrels — no power behind a .272 xwOBA

30% strikeouts with a .271 xwOBA — no contact floor.

xwOBA .268 with 87 mph exit velo; contact can't carry it.

xwOBA .268 with 4.5% barrels — no power path.

29% strikeout rate, .269 xwOBA — no contact floor.

4.1% barrels and 33% hard-hit — no power base.

28% hard-hit and 3% barrels — zero luck gap to blame.

85.6 mph exit velo, 29% hard-hit — no contact base.

xwOBA .276 hides behind .320 — contact won't hold

24.6% hard-hit and 85.5 mph exit velo — no pop

1.6% barrels and 24% hard-hit — no power base

28% hard-hit, 3.3% barrels — no thump in this bat.

32% strikeout rate sinks a .277 xwOBA profile.

xwOBA .275 with 87.8 mph exit velo — contact drags

Barrel rate 4.8% with 87.5 mph exit velo — no pop left

Contact hitter with zero power: 85 mph, 2% barrels.

29.6% hard-hit with 87.6 mph exit velo — no pop

33% hard-hit and 87 mph exit velo can't carry .275 xwOBA

85.5 mph exit velo, 4.5% barrels — Altuve's bat has gone soft

85.9 mph exit velo with just 29.8% hard-hit.

xwOBA .279 with no luck gap — all real decline.

1.3% barrels at 87 mph — contact can't carry a .293 wOBA

83.8 mph exit velo, 25.6% hard-hit — no power base

0.332 wOBA masks a 0.282 xwOBA in Coors air

16% hard-hit with 84 mph exit velo — hollow .314 wOBA

29% hard-hit with 86 mph exit velo — no thump in this bat

10.6% strikeout rate but 85.9 mph exit velo kills it

27.8% hard-hit with just a 4% barrel rate.

xwOBA .286 with exit velo barely league — empty power.

26% hard-hit, 1.9% barrels — empty contact profile

84.8 mph exit velo, 30% hard-hit — the power's gone

33% strikeout rate with a .287 xwOBA

85.7 mph exit velo, 4.6% barrels — catcher can't slug

29.9% strikeout rate and a .286 xwOBA won't play.

Hard-hit 25% with 85.6 mph exit velo — empty contact bat.

21.6% hard-hit — half the league's thump.

31% strikeout rate, and 87.8 mph exit velo can't save it.

Strikeouts 25.7% with soft 88.4 mph contact and no luck.

Hard-hit 28% with a 2.5% barrel rate — hollow contact.

90.6 mph contact and hard-hit 47% — xwOBA still sits at .291.

28.6% strikeout rate caps a .292 xwOBA bat

2.5% barrel rate and 86.6 mph exit velo — no power base.

29-point xwOBA hole with decent contact; nothing left over

Contact bat with zero impact: 86 mph, 2.3% barrels.

32% strikeouts with a .288 xwOBA cannot support this bat.

32.3% hard-hit, 87.9 mph exit velo — catcher power's gone

.291 xwOBA, 5.7% barrels — power never showed up

27.3% strikeouts with a .290 xwOBA won't play at catcher.

xwOBA .288 sits 27 points below league average

83.5 mph exit velo and 25.7% hard-hit kills the wOBA mirage

34.5% strikeout rate with a .290 xwOBA — bat can't cover it.

86.8 mph exit velo, 33% hard-hit — contact won't play at Coors.

86.8 mph exit velo drags .292 xwOBA down

Barrel rate 4.2% halves league average — no power base.

Contact is fine; the barrels vanished — 6.3%.

29% strikeouts and a .296 xwOBA — profile sags

29% strikeout rate and .297 xwOBA won't hold up

37.9% strikeout rate buries 13.5% barrel upside.

wOBA .322 oversells a .293 xwOBA and 5.2% barrels

86.9 mph exit velo, 31% hard-hit — no thump at all.

xwOBA .296 with only 8.5% barrels — empty average.

Barrel rate 5.2% can't support a .299 wOBA

Hard-Hit 28% with only 4% barrels — empty contact bat.

30.4% strikeout rate cancels out the hard contact

Barrel rate 5.5% means the contact isn't carrying.

26.6% hard-hit, 86 mph exit velo — no power to sell

xwOBA .298 and 26% Ks — nothing carries the bat.

87 mph exit velo, 3% barrels — no power payoff

Hard-hit rate 32.6% kills the DH profile

31.7% strikeout rate erases 91.5 mph exit velo.

3.6% barrels, 88 mph exit velo — nothing behind the average.

27% hard-hit with 87 mph exit velo — hollow contact.

27.8% strikeout rate caps a .300 xwOBA bat.

86.9 mph exit velo, 4.8% barrels — light contact caps him.

87 mph exit velo, 36% hard-hit — contact won't hold

29.6% strikeout rate, 86.7 mph exit velo — no contact floor.

Contact-first catcher with 5.9% barrels and a .300 xwOBA

82.8 mph exit velo kills a 13% strikeout rate.